I’d rather have Tyrod Taylor as my quarterback in 2017 than Eli Manning.
Before you bolt, let me explain.
Over the second half of the season, I’ve intent in a steady discuss with my Twitter supporters over the stream ability turn of Manning. we was dumbfounded at the advantage of the doubt so many fans give him. Sure, he’s won two Super Bowls for you, but what has he finished for you lately? How good is he actually right now?
In my opinion: not good.
When we contend that, we meant relations to the other starting quarterbacks in the NFL, of course. Compared to them, Manning was loyal up next normal last year.
Don’t trust me? Let’s run down some of the numbers.
All of those statistics radically try to — in their own way — capture the value a quarterback adds to his group in a given diversion or season.
Are you asocial of modernized stats? Fine. Well he was 22nd in passer rating, too.
Below average. That simple.
You can still win with him, sure, but he needs help. Like a torpedo invulnerability and a receiver like Odell Beckham Jr. That’s how the Giants got the playoffs: by assisting Manning, not given of him.
Enter Taylor. The quarterback whose register mark on the Bills is somehow in question. The quarterback that is still underrated after two plain years in Buffalo.
Why is he overlooked? For two major reasons.
1. A vast partial of Taylor’s value comes from his legs. When fans demeanour at simple flitting stats, Taylor’s normal numbers don’t demeanour all that impressive. 3,023 flitting yards, 17 flitting touchdowns last season. But he combined 580 yards on 95 rushing attempts (that’s 6.1 yards per carry) and 6 touchdowns.
2. Part of Taylor’s value comes from what he doesn’t do: chuck picks. He threw just 6 in 2016 and 6 in 2015, as well. Skeptics will indicate out that Taylor threw a lot fewer passes than Manning, but any way you demeanour at it, Taylor was better in this department. He threw picks on 1.4% of his passes in 2016, compared to 2.7% for Manning.
Those two factors are likely partial of the reason given some of the aforementioned modernized statistics desired Taylor relations to his perceptions this year.
The rundown: the Bills QB finished 19th in flitting DVOA, ninth in points combined and ninth in QBR in 2016. ANY/A and passer rating don’t cause in his rushing ability, but he still narrowly kick Manning in both categories, finishing 18th and 19th among QBs, respectively, with at slightest 6 starts. Taylor finished 19th in rushing DVOA — but with a somewhat certain score, which indicates it was still a value supplement compared to normal — while Manning didn’t have adequate rushes to qualify.
So Taylor was better than Manning last season.
But we would be lingering to consider just one deteriorate of data. Granted, we don’t have a ton some-more information on Taylor, but let’s still consider 2015 for both QBs, too. we hatred to mangle it to Giants fans, but while Manning declined in 2016, he was no luminary the year before. He trailed Taylor in flitting DVOA, points added, QBR, ANY/A and passer rating that year too.
Two years in a quarrel — the only two Taylor has been a starting quarterback — he’s been better than Manning, and that’s adequate for me to trust that he’ll be better in 2017.
And that’s but including one last cause — the one subject that seems to harry Manning when he’s asked about it — his age. Manning is 36, and while there have been age-defying QBs before, there’s no pledge the Giants’ QB will be the next Tom Brady in that respect. Based on FootballPerspective.com’s average aging bend for quarterbacks, a QB in his age 36 deteriorate would be approaching to dump .24 in ANY/A. For context, that would make Manning trip two spots in the rankings for that statistic in 2016. Of course, there’s no pledge that he will dump off again, but given shouldn’t that be the normal expectation?
Taylor, 27, is nearby the rise age for QBs and would be approaching to remove .04 in ANY/A, per the same aging curve.
At this point, I’d expect the counter-argument of Manning’s bad descent line. First, Manning’s line wasn’t that bad. They finished 16th in pass restraint efficiency, per Pro Football Focus. While it’s loyal that the line may have been aided by Manning’s discerning release, it wasn’t a sum disaster. A weakness, but not the finish of the world. And if we’re going to speak about teammates, take a demeanour at Taylor’s far-reaching receivers for many of this year, generally given Sammy Watkins only played in eight games and was banged up. Spoiler alert: nothing of the rest of them are Odell Beckham.
None of this is to contend that the Giants should or could do anything other than start Manning next season. For starters, they have no choice. They’re tethered to him given of his contract, so there’s no indicate meditative about anyone else. And despite being a below-average quarterback, Manning is still good adequate to be a winning quarterback with the right pieces around him.
So this discuss is simply a hypothetical. It’s in a vacuum. It’s not holding into comment logistics, or the intensity value of chemistry or continuity.
But to me the choice is clear: if we’re starting an NFL group from blemish to play the 2017 deteriorate only, I’d take Taylor over Manning every time.